Forecasters always right? Forecasting with probabilities is never a ‘one and done’. If you forecast something has a 40% chance of occuring, you can only be judged by evaluating if your prediction of the 40% events happen 40% of the time. Probabilities shouldn’t be used as weasel words.

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Great Read
The money quote: “Most of us accumulate costly, often chronic health issues as we age. These issues can often be delayed, managed, and controlled if we have good health care—and can’t be if we don’t.

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